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BE A BOOKIE
Lay the odds in any market on Betfair for any
sporting event using an Excel spreadsheet to show the stakes required.
Now is your chance to do all the things that
you expect a bookie might do, and more !!
There may be only one way to bet, but a bookie
can use his own tactics to bias your bet stakes in his favour.
He may target only one runner, so that he only loses if that particular runner
wins.
Although he accepts bets on all runners, he wins on all the runners except his
targeted runner.
We can make this laying method work for us in Betfair horse race markets, football markets such as Correct Score, Half Time
Score, etc., or any golf tournament, other market that has plenty
of runners or selections.
Using the Excel spreadsheets available here, you can even target a single runner
in Betfair horse racing Place markets.
A bookie may decide that the winner of an event
should come from just 2 or 3 well fancied runners.
He might shorten his odds to avoid taking bets on those runners, and lay only
the outsiders.
We can do that on Betfair, by just laying runners that we think may not win.
We can also make sure that our liabilities are equal on each of those runners,
and we can bias our stakes in favour of one or more of those lays.
We can use an Excel spreadsheet to show all stakes required.
To sum up :-
- We can do exactly what we might expect a
bookie would do . . . . and more.
- We can use an Excel spreadsheet to show the
staking for our Betfair lays.
- We can add our own variations to target one
or more runners or bias our stakes in favour of one or more runners.
- We don't have to lay every runner, and we
get to choose the losers.
Use your selection method or system to choose
which runners, football teams, scores, etc. to lay.
We all have our own method that we use to find winners in football matches,
horse racing, golf, cricket, tennis, darts etc..
Why not use your betting system to find your winner and then instead of betting
on your selection, lay the other runners ?
Add your own variations to bias your lay stakes and liabilities and you can
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BE A BOOKIE
Be A Bookie Excel
spreadsheet - Betfair Win markets
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Be A Bookie Win market Excel spreadsheet
£5
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
Lay up to 25 selections to an equal liability.
This spreadsheet is suitable for any event - horse racing, football,
cricket, tennis, snooker, etc.
Use this spreadsheet to show the stakes required to Lay all runners or Lay just a
few runners to an equal liability.
As you input the odds of your selections, the spreadsheet shows :-
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The Lay stake
required for each runner.
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Equal liabilities
against each runner.
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Liability on each
runner reducing as more runners are Layed.
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Percentage of your
book at all stages.
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Total of Lay stakes
at all stages - "Skinner" amount.
The more runners
you Lay, the less your liabilities become.
The more runners you Lay, the bigger the payout on a
"Skinner" - a horse you haven't Layed.
Be A Bookie
spreadsheet price = £5.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below
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Be A Bookie Excel spreadsheet -
Betfair Place markets.
If you are skilled at picking runners that are not likely to make the frame,
laying in the Betfair Place market can be a relatively safe way of trading.
Lay enough runners, and races can be reduced to an even money situation, or
thereabouts.
For example, in an 8 runner race with payout on the first 3 places :-
- You can stake for a very small profit or
loss if 2 of the horses that you have layed finish in the first 3.
- You can win or lose very similar amounts if
1 or 3 of the horses that you have layed finish
in the first 3.
1 placed in the first 3 and you have good profit.
3 placed in the first and your loss can be very similar to the size of those
potential winnings.
Lay enough runners, and you will only lose if
you hit all the placed horses with your lays.
That may not be what you would expect from a potential payout on 2, 3, (or 4
runners in a handicap with 16 or more
runners), but that is how the maths of the Place market work.
Follow this link for a detailed description of how you can
Be A Bookie in the Betfair Place Market
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Be A Bookie - Place Market Excel spreadsheet.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
This Be A Bookie Place Market spreadsheet
calculates the lay stakes required to Lay up to 25 selections to an equal liability.
As you input the odds of your selections, the spreadsheet shows :-
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The Lay stake
required for each runner.
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Equal liabilities
against each runner.
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Liability on each
runner reducing as more runners are Layed.
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Percentage of your
book at all stages.
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Total of Lay stakes
at all stages - - - "Skinner" amount.
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Guaranteed winnings
on one placed lay if your total book is over 100%
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Guaranteed winnings on 2 placed lays if your total book is over
200%
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Guaranteed winnings on 3 placed lays if your total book is over
300%.
The more runners
you Lay, the less your liabilities become.
The more runners you Lay, the bigger the payout on a
"Skinner" - - - a horse you haven't layed.
In big handicaps, lay to a book percentage of over 300% and you
will only have liabilities if you hit ALL 4 placed horses with
your lays - - - - - otherwise you will make a profit.
This spreadsheet has an Adjust facility.
This Adjust feature allows you to bias your stakes in favour of one
runner, or against that one runner.
For example, you may feel that the winner
should come from the first few in the betting.
In a race of say, 8 runners, you may decide to Lay 5 of the runners, to break
even on your first runner, but show a profit on your other 4 lays.
Stake correctly and you could :-
Be A Bookie
- Dutch The Place Market Excel spreadsheet
price = £10.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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Dutching (Laying) to a Liability
Target
This Dutching method
offers total control of your liabilities whilst you lay up to 25
runners.
Use this spreadsheet to lay up to 25 runners for a liability of your
choice if you hit a winner.
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Dutching to a Liability target.
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The stake on
each runner increases as more runners are Layed.
The total stake (your "Skinner" amount if you don't hit the winner) increases as more runners are added.
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Desired liability remains constant.
This Lay staking method may be suitable
for use with a staking plan.
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Lay big odds for small liabilities if you choose.
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Limit the amount you lose if you Lay
the winner - in any sport.
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As you lay more runners, your
liability remains at the level of your choice.
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As you lay more runners, your Total
Stakes increase.
If you don't hit the winner with your lays, all
your lays are successful and you clean up with profit equal to the
total of all your lay stakes.
A problem with this method
of Lay Dutching is that the odds of all your selections need to be put
into the spreadsheet before you start to place your lays.
If you alter any of the odds or you add another runner, ALL the stakes
will change in order to maintain your liabilities at your chosen level.
How to Lay several ruinners
at once on Betfair.
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Click the Lay odds on Betfair and input your stake as usual, but don't hit
"Submit".
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Do the same for all your selections until you
have all your lays with stakes on show.
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Once you are satisfied
with your staking, hit "Submit," and "Confirm" your Lays.
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All your lays will be
submitted together in one go.
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Excel
spreadsheets are
a quick and reliable way
of doing calculations.
Purchase an excellent
spreadsheet here for only a fiver.
Dutch to a Lay Liability Target spreadsheet.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
This Dutch to a Lay
Liability Target spreadsheet calculates the stakes required to Lay up to
25 selections for an equal liability if you hit the winner with your
Lays.
The only inputs required are the names of your selections, the amount of the Liability that suits your
comfort level, and the Lay odds
of your selections.
The spreadsheet shows the stakes required for each selection and
maintains the liability on all selections at the level that you set.
As you input more runners, the stakes adjust and your liability
always remains the same.
The spreadsheet shows your Liability, total stakes, and for interest, the percentage
odds of your selections, plus total percentage of your book..
This spreadsheet
also has an Adjust feature which allows you to increase or
decrease the size of your Liability on any individual
runners whilst maintaining your chosen Liability target on all other
runners.
You can therefore bias your liability on any runners
that you think may be more likely to lose.
Dutch to a Lay Liability Target spreadsheet
price = £5.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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1 or 2 Losers
Excel spreadsheet - Betfair Win markets.
Lay plenty of runners but make only one or 2 of your runners losers for
you.
You win on all other runners that you lay, and if you don't lay the
winner, all your lays are successful - you clean up with a profit
equal to the total of all the bets you have layed - you have a
"Skinner".
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1 or 2 Losers Excel spreadsheets £10.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view these
spreadsheets.
These 1 or 2 Losers spreadsheets
calculate the Lay stakes required to Lay up to 20
selections to reduce the liability on either 1 or 2 target
horses.
You could of course use this spreadsheet for any event other than
horse racing.
This Excel file contains 4 separate spreadsheets.
1 loser spreadsheet
Only the first horse will have a negative liability.
Once you lay more than 2 horses, a profit will be made on horses 2 to
20.
If you don't Lay the winner, you clean up with the total £££ of all your
Lays.
2 losers spreadsheet
Only the first 2 horses will have negative liabilities.
Once you lay more than 3 horses, a profit will be made on horses 3 to
20.
If you don't Lay the winner, you clean up with the total £££ of all your
Lays.
3 and 4 losers spreadsheets.
As described above, but these sheets target 3 or 4 runners to lose.
If none of the Layed horses
win, you clean up with the total of all the Lay amounts staked - you have
a "Skinner".
The more runners
you Lay :-
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The less your liabilities
become on your target horses
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The more profit you show
on other Layed horses
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The bigger the payout on a
"Skinner" - a horse you haven't layed.
1 or 2 Losers Excel
spreadsheets price = £10.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below
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Lay A Yankee Excel
spreadsheet - Any Betfair market.
Bookies love multiple bets.
A big win on a multiple bet is often well adviertised in newspapers, but that is
excellent free advertising for the bookies.
They know that it is very difficult to pick 4 or more winners in one bet, so if
the publicity brings in more multiple bets from the betting public, that's good
news for the bookies.
Place your lays in different markets, on different days or weeks - the timescale
of your Yankee doesn't matter.
- Lay just one loser in a Yankee, and you have
7 successful lays - the bet is reduced to 3 doubles and a treble.
- Lay just one loser and you can pocket the
profit from 7 successful lays and start a fresh Yankee.
- If you are unlucky and hit a couple of
winners, you don't have to complete a Yankee.
When was the last time you had a winning Yankee,
or even hit 4 winners in succession ?
Lay Yankee bets on Betfair using this spreadsheet, and you get to choose the
losers.
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Lay Yankee Excel spreadsheet £5.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
This Lay Yankee spreadsheet
calculates
the stakes required to Lay each runner of your Yankee in sequence.
The only inputs required are the amount of your basic stake, which can
be less than £2 and the odds
of your selections.
A unit stake of 30p would be sufficient to start your Yankee with an
initial Lay of £2.10.
As your Lay Yankee
progresses, the spreadsheet shows
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The stake required for
each runner.
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Your profit from
successful Lays so far
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The payout on any
winners.
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The combined profit or loss on losers or winners so far.
This spreadsheet can be used
to Bet or Lay a Yankee.
Just 1 successfully
Layed
50p Yankee could pay for your Yankee spreadsheet.
Lay Yankee Excel spreadsheet price = £5.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below
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Lay A Union Jack
Excel spreadsheet - Any Betfair market.
The Union Jack is
another very popular combination bet, at least with bookmakers.
This comprises 9 selections in 8 trebles.
9 runners, are set out in a 3 by 3
grid.
A, B, C
D, E, F
G, H, I
The trebles covered are 3 horizontally, 3 vertically and 2 diagonally.
With 9 selections, there are a possible 84 treble combinations, but a
Union Jack covers only 8 of them, leaving the punter with less than a
1 in 10 chance of hitting a winning treble combination.
As a layer we can take advantage of this by laying those 8 trebles from 9 selections,
just as bookies do.
It is possible to hit 6 winners with no payout.
An example of 6 winners with no payout is shown in bold above.
There will be other combinations.
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Lay Union Jack Excel spreadsheet £5.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
This Lay Union Jack
spreadsheet calculates
the stakes required to Lay each runner in sequence.
The only inputs required are the amount of your basic stake, which can
be less than £2 and the odds
of your selections.
A unit stake of 70p would be sufficient to start your Union Jack with an
initial Lay of £2.10.
As your Lay Union Jack progresses, the spreadsheet shows
:-
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The stake required for
each of your 9 runners.
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Your profit from
successful Lays so far
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The payout on any
winners.
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The combined profit or loss on losers or winners so far..
This spreadsheet can be used
to either Bet or Lay a Union Jack..
Just 1 successfully
Layed 70p Union Jack could pay for your spreadsheet.
Lay Union Jack Excel spreadsheet price = £5.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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Lay 7 Trebles
Excel spreadsheet - Any Betfair market.
Some bookies offer incentives to encourage punters to bet in
multiples such as trebles.
That is a clear indication of how much bookies value these kind of bets.
Now you can copy what they do by Laying several trebles.
The spreadsheet below shows the stakes required to Lay up to 12
selections in 7 separate trebles.
With 12 selections, there are a possible 220 treble combinations, but this
staking plan covers only 7 of them, leaving you with less than a 1 in
30 chance of hitting a winning treble combination with your 12 lays.
The treble combinations are arranged so that each selection appears a
maximum of only once in any other treble.
For example, your first runner appears in only 1 treble.
Runners 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 appear in only 2 trebles each,
whilst runners 11 and 12 appear in only 1 treble.
If you were a bookie offering this multiple trebles bet, your customer,
the punter could have the first 7 winners on his betting slip, and not
have a winning treble.
Also, if his first 4 selections were losers, and then his last 8 selections were winners, he
would still not have a winning treble.
Place your lays in different markets, on
different days or weeks - the timescale of your trebles doesn't matter.
Normally when you bet on a
double or treble, you select just one runner per race and any winnings
are carried forward onto the next part of your double or treble, but when you Lay doubles or trebles, you don't have to Lay single horses.
As a Layer, you may choose
to start several trebles in the same race,
and guarantee several losing trebles in your first race.
This Lay 7 Trebles
spreadsheet allows a maximum of 3 or 4 selections in any one race,
depending upon the progress of your trebles.
If you don't hit the winner with those 3 or 4 selections, all 7 of your
trebles will fail, and you will have 7 points profit.
You may of course, Lay less
than 3 or 4 runners in each race.
The spreadsheet below, shows the Lay stakes required to Lay each treble
as they progress.
Lay one runner at a time, or
more than one runner.
The spreadsheet shows the stakes required to Lay 7 trebles from 12
runners, with in theory, a less than 1 in 30 chance of hitting a winning
treble.
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Lay 7 Trebles Excel spreadsheet £5.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
This Lay 7 Trebles
spreadsheet calculates the stakes required to Lay each runner of your
trebles in sequence.
The only inputs required are the amount of your basic stake, and the odds
of your selections.
As your trebles
progress, the spreadsheet shows
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The stake required for
each runner.
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Your profit from
successful Lays so far
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The liability of your
current lay.
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Your Bank - profit or
loss on losers and winners so far.
Lay 7 Trebles Excel spreadsheet price = £5.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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Hedge Your Bets
Excel spreadsheet - Trade odds movements in any Betfair market.
Whilst watching horse racing on television, you may hear the presenters in the
betting market say that a bookie has sent money to the course to be bet on one
of the runners.
If you were a bookie who had accepted 1 or 2 very bets on a runner, you would
probably need to bet at least some of the amount you have taken, to reduce your
liabilities and balance your book with the other runners.
The only other alternative would be to stand the whole liability and hope that
the runner didn't win.
As a bookie it would be best if you could bet at
higher odds than the odds that you offered for your lay.
If you can do that, you can make guaranteed winnings on the Bet and Lay part of
your transaction, and your remaining lay liability can be used to balance your
book against liabilities on other runners that you lay.
As traders, we can do exactly the same, providing
the odds move in our favour.
Whilst we place our lays, the odds will move up and down.
If we have placed a lay and the odds increase, we can then bet the same runner
and "Green Up" for guaranteed win or lose profit.
We could then lay again at lower odds if the odds shortened later.
Also, if we make a mistake whilst placing our lays, we may need to exit a trade
by betting the same runner.
Losses can be kept to a minimum by placing a bet to equalize our trade for an
equal profit or loss on the transaction.
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Hedge Your Bets spreadsheet.
You will need Excel 2000 or a later version to view this
spreadsheet.
Trade using just 2 transactions, a
Bet and a Lay, or a Lay and a Bet.
This Hedge Your Bets spreadsheet calculates the bet or lay stake required to
make a profit no-matter what the outcome of any event, provided your bet odds
are higher than your lay odds.
Input your initial stake and the Bet and Lay odds for instant
calculations.
The spreadsheet can be used for trading - you can bet and lay the market
for a particular runner, golfer, football team, cricket team, tennis player, etc.
Bet first, or lay first, it makes no difference, providing the bet odds are greater than the lay odds, this
spreadsheet covers both eventualities - bet first or lay first.
This spreadsheet has an Adjust facility
that allows you to favour one outcome over the other.
In a football match for instance, a goal may be scored, and you may take the
view that one team will probably win the match.
This spreadsheet shows the stake required to trade out to an equal profit win or
lose, but a further input allows you to bias your stake in favour of your Bet or
your Lay.
In this way, you have the option of boosting your hedge profit for a win or a
lose whilst still
having insurance cover of a smaller gain if events turn against you.
Note that.
These spreadsheets show the stakes required for a range of 16 different odds,
thus eliminating the need to re-input the odds if there is a market move
whilst you are trading.
Hedge your Bets and Lays to an All
Green Screen.
Make an equal profit no-matter what the outcome, or bias your
hedge one way or the other, giving a big or small gain to either side of your
trade.
Hedge correctly whilst the odds move in your favour, and you cannot lose.
Hedge Your Bets
spreadsheet price = £5.
Payment is by PayPal, but you don't need a PayPal account to use the payment
button below.
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